The latest round of speculation about the 2016 presidential race stars former Florida Governor Jeb Bush whose Republican nomination could potentially lead to a matchup between two powerhouse political families. Democratic frontrunner Hillary Clinton holds a double-digit lead over Bush in a hypothetical matchup, but half of voters are less likely to vote for Bush because of his family’s history in the White House.
The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey finds that if the 2016 presidential election were held today, 47% of Likely U.S. Voters would choose Clinton, while 33% would opt for Bush. Fourteen percent (14%) prefer some other candidate, while six percent (6%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Many analysts view Bush as a GOP establishment candidate replacement for New Jersey Governor Chris Christie who is still dealing with the political fallout from the brief closing of a bridge into New York City during his reelection campaign. Just after Christie’s decisive reelection in November, the governor was nearly even with Clinton in a potential 2016 matchup.
But Bush has a major hurdle in his way. Fifty percent (50%) of voters nationwide say the fact that his father and his brother have both served as president makes them less likely to vote for him in 2016. Fourteen percent (14%) say the Bush family’s presidential legacy makes them more likely to vote for him. Thirty-four percent (34%) say it would have no impact on their voting decision.
Clinton’s age isn’t nearly as big a factor. She will turn 69 just before the election in 2016 which has prompted some to suggest she is too old for the presidency. Just 16% think Clinton is too old to be president, though, while 72% disagree. Twelve percent (12%) are undecided.