A new record was set in New York City at 12.01 a.m. on Thursday: no murders had been reported in the city in 10 days. The milestone broke a nine-day record set in 2013, when none were reported during the same time of year, in the chill of January.
A New York police department spokeswoman confirmed to the Guardian that no murders were committed in the city on Wednesday night into Thursday.
But criminologists cautioned against reading too deeply into the statistic: crime, they say, swings with the seasons, and pinpointing what causes a dip is difficult.
“There’s a lot of social forces going on,” said Daniel Nagin, a professor of public policy and statistics at Carnegie Mellon University. “Crime rates, and homicides rates in particular, have declined very substantially since the early 1990s.”
The NYPD started counting days between homicides in 2003, a department spokesperson said, but the drop in crime started long before, as part of a nationwide trend of falling crime rates.