Who Gets Super Tuesday Momentum?


romney-paul-santorumWashington state began its Republican presidential caucuses today with 40 delegates up for grabs, and with the state’s GOP chairman predicting a win for either Mitt Romney or Ron Paul.

The turnout required for a win can be bolstered by a well-organized ground campaign, and Kirby Wilbur said ahead of the caucuses that Rick Santorum and Newt Gingrich “don’t have the infrastructure, the ground game to follow up on turning the vote out.”

“You’ve got to have people turn out, and if you don’t have people reminding them to turn them out, show them where the caucuses are, that’s a disadvantage,” Wilbur said on Friday.

In addition to the 40 delegates, much more — a quick shot of momentum going into Super Tuesday — also is at stake.

Washington’s caucuses come just three days before Super Tuesday, when 10 states hold primaries and caucuses. And because of that, all four major GOP presidential candidates have campaigned in the state, hoping that a strong finish there can carry over to Tuesday.

Even as caucuses began Saturday in Washington, the focus was shifting to Super Tuesday states. Santorum campaigned in Ohio, telling an audience in the town of Blue Ash, “This was the industrial heartland of the country. They now refer to it as the Rust Belt. After … I take the corporate tax for manufacturers, eliminate it, cut it to zero — we’re going to be the stainless-steel belt across this country.”

But in the days before the caucuses, the attention was on Washington state, as all four candidates made the long trip to the Pacific Northwest.

“This is the first time any one GOP presidential candidate has paid attention to us in recent memory, and my memory goes back to the 1970s,” Wilbur told CNN. “We used to be the ugly sister invited to the dance, but no one asked to dance. Now we are the princess.”

Wilbur said that the state’s contest used to follow Super Tuesday, when in most cycles the battle for the nomination was basically over.

Santorum, campaigning Thursday in Pasco, told supporters, “You are the voice that is going to speak very loudly before Super Tuesday and put this race on a whole other plane.”

Romney, who campaigned in Washington on Friday, sounded a similar theme.

“There are a bunch of states that are going to make up their minds on Tuesday, but you guys are first, and so your voice is going to be heard,” Romney said at a campaign event in Bellevue.

Paul campaigned in Washington two weeks ago and was back in the state Friday and Saturday. He also was running campaign commercials in Washington, as was Gingrich, who made a swing through the state last week.

The caucuses are open, which means independent voters and Democrats can take part in the GOP contest.

The caucuses kicked off Saturday morning. While some smaller caucus meetings are being held in private homes, most gatherings will be larger and held in public places, such as schools, and will include multiple precincts.

Besides voting for delegates, caucus-goers will also vote in a nonbinding GOP presidential preference straw poll. While delegates to the GOP convention in Tampa, Florida, won’t be determined until later rounds of voting this spring, major news organizations, including CNN, will make proportional delegate estimates based on Saturday’s presidential straw poll results.

The state GOP projects that 40,000 to 60,000 people will take part in the caucuses, up from the 12,616 who participated in the 2008 Republican caucuses. There was also a primary on the Republican side four years ago, with around a half million voters casting ballots.

{Cable News Network/Matzav.com Newscenter}