HATE RISING: Poll: Mamdani Leading NYC Mayor Race By 19 Points

Zohran Mamdani holds a commanding lead in the New York City mayoral contest, with nearly a 20-point advantage over his closest rival in a crowded five-person race, according to a new survey.

The Siena College poll, released Tuesday, shows Mamdani ahead of former New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo by a margin of 44 percent to 25 percent. Republican nominee Curtis Sliwa trails far behind at 12 percent, while current Mayor Eric Adams comes in at just 7 percent.

Cuomo, who was defeated by Mamdani in the Democratic primary, and Adams, who opted not to participate in that primary, remain registered Democrats but are each running as independents in the general election.

The poll surveyed registered voters within New York City.

Among Democrats in the city, Mamdani holds a decisive advantage, with 55 percent backing him compared to Cuomo’s 32 percent. Sliwa, meanwhile, enjoys the support of more than two-thirds of Republicans surveyed.

Among independent voters, Mamdani’s edge is slimmer, with 30 percent supporting him. Adams follows in second place among independents with 20 percent, according to the poll.

The State Assembly member, who identifies as a democratic socialist, is also the only candidate with a positive net favorability rating citywide. He is viewed favorably by 46 percent of respondents and unfavorably by 32 percent — a net positive of 14 points. In contrast, Cuomo’s rating is 17 points underwater, Adams is down by 28 points, and Sliwa by 12 points.

Given New York City’s strong Democratic tilt, Mamdani is considered the frontrunner for November’s general election. His opponents are hoping one of them can stage an upset, but the numbers illustrate how steep that challenge will be.

Cuomo has urged the other candidates to unite behind whichever contender shows the strongest polling numbers against Mamdani in head-to-head matchups next month — a scenario that current polling suggests would favor him. But both Adams and Sliwa have made it clear they will not exit the race.

While Mamdani has not yet hit the 50 percent mark in general election polling for either a four-person or five-person race (including independent candidate Jim Walden), his numbers have shown a modest rise compared to earlier surveys. Still, there has been relatively little independent polling on the race.

The Siena poll was conducted between Aug. 4 and Aug. 7, surveying 317 registered voters. The margin of error is 6.7 percentage points, higher than usual because the poll was drawn from a larger statewide survey rather than a standalone likely-voter sample.

{Matzav.com}