Lessons From The Deadly Second Wave Of The 1918 Flu Pandemic

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As coronavirus lockdowns loosen and some Americans flock to restaurants, beaches and other outdoor spaces for Memorial Day weekend, the question of reopening too quickly is striking an eerily familiar echo.

The global flu epidemic of 1918 remains the deadliest on record. According to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, the pandemic killed an estimated 50 million worldwide and over half a million in the United States. J. Alexander Navarro of the University of Michigan’s Center for History of Medicine is one of the organizers of the “Influenza Archive,” a collection of information cataloguing and studying the effects of the 1918 pandemic in 43 major U.S. cities.

The research sought an answer to a key question: Was social distancing effective in 1918 as a way of slowing the spread of the disease and saving lives?

Navarro said cities that closed schools and banned public gatherings fared better against the flu. “They had both lower peak and total overall morbidity and mortality cases and deaths,” he said.

In fact, statewide orders making masks mandatory and shuttering nonessential business were widespread in 1918. San Francisco, for example, imposed fines on individuals failing to wear a mask in public, prompting protests.

Current research tracking the success of social distancing efforts to ease the spread of the novel coronavirus point to the same conclusion.

But varying levels of enforcement combined with World War I created a variety of outcomes in 1918. That fall marked the disease’s second and deadliest wave in the United States.

“The pandemic started in military camps first and foremost. So the military worked to try and control those epidemics in the camps,” Navarro said. “The average Joe in the fall of 1918 was very much preoccupied with things like the Liberty Loan drives.”

Philadelphia’s infamous decision not to cancel its Liberty Loan parade in late September resulted in 1,000 deaths in the span of 10 days, making the city one of the hardest hit by the epidemic.

Other cities such as Denver lifted restrictions that November on Armistice Day to celebrate the end of the war, only to experience a deadlier spike.

“Pretty much every city that we examined reported on huge crowds immediately congregating downtown in stores and cafes and theaters and bowling alleys,” Navarro said, adding that the crowding happened on the very day social distancing orders were lifted.

Navarro notes that the main difference between 1918 and the current coronavirus pandemic is the vastly different economic landscape – particularly the role of retail, restaurants, movie theaters and other small businesses. “They could shut down places of public amusement and not have the same type of impact on the local economy in 1918 because the manufacturing sector was so dominant,” Navarro said. “This is an economy that’s built on the service sector. So I think we’re in for a much greater and more severe economic impact today than we were in 1918.”

As states continue to grapple with the pandemic, many are easing restrictions and pushing to revive lagging economies. But leading health experts warn of a second wave of infection. Navarro is cautious about which lessons to draw from the past, noting advances in medical science and technology, but points to a worrying parallel in human behavior.

“Even though the historical context changes, there’s going to be a great clamoring to get back to life as normal,” he said. “There could be really terrible public health consequences as a result.”

(c) 2020, The Washington Post · Adriana Usero  

{Matzav.com}


11 COMMENTS

  1. Lessons From The Deadly Second Wave Of The 1918 Flu Pandemic is NEVER to take any vaccination.
    Between 50 and 100 million people were killed by a vaccine in 1918.

  2. One small bit of history seems to always be left out when it comes to the 1918 flu. Aspirin was just discovered and doctors excitedly gave them to their ill patients. Because it was brand new, they over prescribed this medicine. It built up fluid in their lungs and they drowned. They didn’t die from flu but from the treatment. This contributed to 10-15% of all flu deaths.

  3. The death rate of 1918 was much greater. Almost everyone that got it, died. and mostly between the ages of 20-40.
    Here, most people recover. I think that is big difference.

  4. WHO DO YOU THINK WAS BEHIND IT THEN AND NOW?
    In 1918 when about 100 million people were killed was NOT from a flu epidemic but from an experimental vaccine from a medical research lab in NY which was injected into soldiers. These infected soldiers spread the bacteria in Europe where they went to fight.

    But that was not enough for the elite criminals. They helped spread the virus during WWI from their labs to countries in Europe, just like the elite criminals of today who are spreading the Corona Virus from their labs.

    “Scientists or doctors cannot tell us where or when the next pandemic will strike.” ANOTHER LIE!
    In 2017 Dr. Farci threatened President Trump that he will face a infectious disease outbreak worse that the flu epidemic of 1918.

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