Obama Campaign Manager: Forget The Tied National Polls, We’re Winning

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obama1Obama campaign manager Jim Messina told reporters on Shabbos that despite national tracking polls showing the president and Romney tied, Obama is still winning.

“In all the battleground states, we continue to see all our pathways there,” he told the White House pool at an Obama fundraiser in Milwaukee. “We’re either tied or in the lead in every battleground state 45 days out.”

Messina, who drove from Chicago to Wisconsin to be with Obama on his first trip to a state that appears to have come into play when Paul Ryan was selected to be Romney’s running mate, predicted that the national polling will get even closer, but that the president’s lead will hold in key swing states.

“I think you will see a tightening in the national polls going forward,” he said. “What I care way more about it Ohio, Colorado, Virginia, Wisconsin, etc. In those states, I feel our pathways to victory are there. There are two different campaigns, one in the battlegrounds and one everywhere else. That’s why the national polls aren’t relevant to this campaign.”

In Wisconsin, Messina said the GOP is stronger than they are nationally, but maintained that the Obama campaign still has an edge


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  1. Obama and Romney are tied only in two tracking polls. Every conventional poll in the past week has Obama up by 1 to 8 points according to the RealClearPolitics summary.

    Obama is ahead in the last 7 polls in Ohio, 5 of the last 8 polls in FL (the other 3 being Republican polling firms), the last 8 polls in Virginia, 3 of the last 4 polls in New Hampshire (the exception being the Republican-leaning Rasmussen poll), 2 of the last 3 polls in Iowa (again Rasmussen is the exception), 6 of the last 7 polls in Colorado (again Rasmussen is the exception), the last 7 polls in Wisconsin, the last 7 polls in Michigan (the latest by 14 points), and in every Pennsylvania poll since early February (including a 12 point lead in the latest Rasmussen poll; the Republicans have apparently thrown in the towel as they are running no ads there), and in every Nevada poll going back to last December. If you add up all states that have voted Democratic in the past five Presidential elections, that adds up to 242 electoral votes. Only Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin are even on the above list and Obama is ahead in all three. The Republicans have also conceded New Mexico (5 EV) and if you simply add Virginia and Ohio the election is over. And the “bad economy” argument doesn’t work in either Virginia and Ohio as both have unemployment rates well below the national average. Things look very bad for Romney.

  2. “Forget The Tied National Polls, We’re Winning” That is right! It doesn’t matter what the polls say. Obama will be re-elected, because, that is part of the Master Plan. You are either sleeping or in total denial, if you can’t see Hashem’s plan. America is in decline and Obama’s job was to take it there. Another term in office will bring America to its knees, never getting up again. Do not get me wrong, The USA is a Blessed country, but it’s time has come for its lights to be dimmed & move on & bring the Geulah. Hashem is blasting messages all over, but to deaf ears. Time is now, more than ever to come to Eretz Yisroel. Come on YOUR terms, Not on someone else’s.

  3. To #2 charlie hall

    I guess its all over! Obama in a landslide! No reason to go out & vote! Its a done deaL! Might as well stop campaigning on both sides!

  4. “the repubs are very soft and running a lousy campaign”

    I’ve been following politics a long time and Romney is running the worst campaign since George McGovern in 1972.


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