Opinion: Obama Is Bluffing On Iran

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obama-iranBy Shoula Romano Horing

While Israel fears a new Holocaust from a nuclear armed Iran, President Barack Obama seems to only be worried about a preemptive attack on Iran or the talk of war raising oil prices and thereby harming the US economy and his re-election campaign.

Despite his reassurances at the AIPAC conference that he “won’t hesitate to use force to prevent Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon,” he is in fact bluffing to woo Jewish voters and stop an Israeli unilateral attack on Iran. Less than two days after his AIPAC campaign speech, he already backtracked from his commitment. When asked what he meant by his comments that “we have Israel’s back,” the president answered that “it was not a military doctrine that we were laying out for any particular military action.”

Israel should realize by now that Obama will never attack Iran or support an Israeli attack before the elections because a war in the oil-rich region would send gasoline prices even higher than they are now, exacerbating the economic situation and hurting his chance for reelection. The price of gasoline has been rising daily in the past month, averaging $3.79 a gallon. Since 1976, there has been a correlation between rising oil prices and falling presidential approval ratings in the US. Jimmy Carter lost the presidency when gas averaged $3.37 per gallon when adjusted to the current value of the dollar.

Although Obama has been taking credit for the “crippling” sanctions against Iran and asking the Israelis to wait a few months to allow them to take effect, he has in fact tried to weaken the sanctions. In December 2011, the Kirk-Menendez amendment passed by a rare 100-0 vote in the Senate directed the Administration to take punitive measures against foreign entities that do business with Iran. However, the Administration tried to pressure top ranking Democrats, thankfully to no avail, to delay the implementation of the sanctions by a few months, arguing that the amendment could raise oil prices and hurt the US economy.

Israel alone in this fight?
Moreover, Obama failed to begin enforcement of the sanctions on February 29 as the law intended. The nightmare scenario for the president would be the revelation, in the midst of economic recovery, would be an Iranian nuclear breakthrough in the next eight months, forcing him to either act or back down and then be judged by the voters. The only scenario under which Obama will attack Iran is if he believes he has a chance of losing the election because the economy deteriorates, unemployment rises and the chosen Republican presidential candidate is gaining in popularity.

If re-elected, President Obama, in his second term, will not attack Iran even as a last resort. Not needing Jewish votes or reelection and true to his ideology of appeasement, he will re-adopt his “containment policy” of useless diplomacy, eventually leading to a nuclear Iran. By then, the Middle East will be an explosive powder keg, waiting for the Iranian trigger.

Israel‘s only deterrence option to stop Iran from attacking would be the threat of retaliation through total annihilation using the Jewish state’s nuclear weapons arsenal. Watching Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s AIPAC speech, it seems clear that he realized after talking to Obama that Israel is alone in this fight.

Israel’s only remaining hope is that Obama will lose the election and be replaced by the Republicans. The only time when the extremist Iranian leadership decided to suspend its nuclear program was 2003, after the US invaded Iraq, because Tehran truly believed a Republican president‘s warnings that it will be attacked next.

{Ynet/Matzav.com Newscenter}


  1. CORRECTION: Israel’s only hope – always – and there is no other hope, is Hashem Yisborach. If our zehiros in turning to Hashem as our first thought for salvation; our second thought for salvation — and our only thought for salvation is in place, then Hashem’s zehiros for our protection will be matched and exceed any and all expectation. When will we learn that in our corner is the exalted Creator of the Universe Himself. Not only is that nuclear power, that is all of the power. Yiminchah Hashem…..

  2. Rabosai;
    I hear everyone asking the same question re how we may definitely be Erev a third world war/re all that will definitely happen when Israel attacks Iran, as far as the way Iran will take revenge NOT only, on Israel, but, yes, on the West (I can’t elaborate here HOW and WHY the USA and the West will suffer, H yerachem and it’s not the point of this message,)cont:
    the question so many are asking, is,:
    How can we continue “bu8isness as usual” as far as our failure to get organized, speak to all gedolei Yisroel, and launch a worldwide campaign to….
    begin begging and pleading for…the Geulah ..BeRACHAMIM?
    See what the Chofetz Chaim has to say about…how lack of pleading for the Geulah has been preventing it, and how ALL OUT pleading for the Geulah will DEFINITELY hasten it and…BeRACHAMIM.

    Rav Don Segal shlita recently cried out that “we are in a “TARDEMA” (slumber).

  3. why are you publishing this stuff? It is all propaganda. It is really very simple: We can divide the concerns into 2 parts.

    Part 1: Concern that Iran will make a nuclear bomb by the end of 2012 or that the U.S. will not be able to stop an Iranian attempt to do so if they try is propaganda BECAUSE there is no evidence that this can possibly happen. The proof that there is no evidence that this can even possibly happen is that there is not one single head of any agency in the U.S. military, U.S. Intelligence, the Israeli Mossad, or the Israeli IDF who has said that Iran can make a nuclear device by 2013 without the U.S. knowing in time to stop it.

    On the contrary, any US or Israeli Military or Intelligence agency head who HAS SPOKEN about the subject says Iran cant do it.

    All the pundits and writers in the world don’t add evidence to anything if not one of the above agencies don’t even have one single person within them saying that Iran can make a nuclear device in KNOWN SITES without the U.S. knowing by 2012.

    Concern 2: The idea that Iran could do something in a site unknown to the U.S. and Israel is a real concern.

  4. of course we are not doing anything. due to many reasons among them

    1)our level of bitachon & emunah is very low Rachmana l’tzlan the only way to arm yourself with protection is to put your life in the hands of Hashem i.e with bitachon & emunah (faith & trust) & then you have no worries of protection for one that seeks out Hashem lacks nothing that is good (tehillim chap. 34)

    May all of Klal yisroel start doing teshuva NOW-before tragedy strikes again C”V-& THEN mashiach will come b’karov

    3)are we going to continue watching anti-
    semitsm grow even in the free country of the USA & just say its coincidence OR is it a message from Hashem for all of klal yisroel to make aliyah NOW towards the geula & mashiach? BEFORE HASHEM NEEDS TO MAKE THINGS WORSE C”V

    4)these events will continue happening R”L due to the lack of achdus in klal yisroel.
    if mashiach is ever to come, klal yisroel needs to be one together on all levels-frum, frei, reform etc…-when we all show hashem we can act as one jewish nation then mashiach can come. UNTIL THEN Hashem waits & our Matriarch rachel cries everyday…

    5)we have a major problem in today’s society (yidden or not) . & its called FACING REALITY.
    whenever tragedy strikes or there’s a big issue, the person blocks it from his face & convinces himself not to apply the message to him,so that we can just continue our fancy & happy lavish life.

    first WE ALL need to admit to ourselves that i have a issue/problem here, then we need to work on solving it. BUT %80 of solving it, is each person admitting to the problems he has.

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