Poll: Agudah Would Not Pass Electoral Threshold if UTJ Split

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A poll published this week by Bechadrei Charedim ignites the battle between the Degel HaTorah and Agudas Yisrael factions of the Yahadut HaTorah party.

The survey showed that in the event of a split between the factions, Agudas Yisrael would remain outside the Knesset and receive only 2.5 seats, compared with Degel, which would overcome the threshold and receive 4.5 seats.

The survey of chareidi voting patterns conducted Monday by the Askaria polling company revealed that if UTJ would split into two parties, Agudah would not have enough votes to pass the 3.9 mandates required for the electoral threshold.

The survey asked chareidi voters who they would be voting for in the coming elections: 47% said that they would vote for Yahadut HaTorah, representing 6.8 mandates, 23% for Shas, representing 3.4 mandates, 8% for Religious Zionism, representing 1 mandate, 3% for Likud, 2% for other parties, 6% are still uncertain, and 11% have decided not to vote in the coming elections.

{Matzav.com Israel}


10 COMMENTS

  1. Let them split. It is for the best.

    This way Degel will end up with considerably more than 4.5 mandates.
    Only way to go now. And it will be “marba kvod Shomayim”

    • not true. There’s a huge divide and not enough leadership currently in the litvish world. Gur, even if I wish it wouldnt be this way brings the biggest percentage to degel. It’s not like when reb chaim zatzal was around, everyone was scared not to listen to him. It’s different now. If there is any separation the chareidim besides for shaas are completely loosing.
      Mitzad shlishi, who cares? it’s anyway a clown show. It’s obvious by now that only moshiach will heal the disfunction of israeli govt.

  2. This is simply because a lot of Chasidim are aligning with the Satmar/Brisker shita of not voting, and the ones that are voting are just voting Likud.
    Although not snything close to Satmar, I’m not convinced they are wrong.

    • Kol hakavod to those aligning with the Satmar / Brisker shita whom the secular government has no power over.

    • I actually was under the impression that many of the other Chassidus’s simply felt marginalized and not represented well by Agudah. As I read in one of the magazine’s (I don’t recall which one) after the split in UTJ in the Jerusalem municipal elections, that they created another organization under the Moetzes of Agudah that intended to give every Chassidus a voice. Or at least that was their claim of why they were demolished in those elections and only won 3 seats. Now the reason was probably because the litvish kehilla in Jerusalem is simply much bigger than Agudah wanted to believe, but on some level I can imagine that the smaller Chassidus’s aren’t well represented at all and had they been better represented they could have at least gotten 4 or maybe even 5 seats.

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