Former President Donald Trump currently holds a 5.1 percentage point lead over Vice President Kamala Harris in Electoral College projections, according to election forecast data from pollster Nate Silver.
While Harris has a 3.8-point advantage over Trump in the popular vote, as tracked by the updated Silver Bulletin, her likelihood of winning the Electoral College has dropped to 47.3%, compared to Trump’s 52.4%. Silver attributed this to a “convention bounce adjustment” that the model applies to polls conducted during or after the Democratic National Convention.
“It assumes Harris’s polls are somewhat inflated right now, in other words — just as it assumed Trump’s numbers were inflated after the [Republican National Convention],” Silver explained on Thursday.
However, Trump’s position is not entirely secure. “The good news for Harris is that if she merely holds her current numbers for a couple more weeks, she’ll begin to track up again in our forecast as the model will become more confident that she’s out of the convention bounce period,” Silver added.
Since President Joe Biden exited the race in late July, Harris has gained momentum against Trump in both national polls and in crucial swing states. Following her official acceptance of the Democratic nomination last week, Harris has focused her campaign efforts on key battleground states, such as Georgia, where Biden had been losing support before ending his campaign.
{Matzav.com}
You have to be a first-class nut to believe any of this Kamala-leading nonsense. Does she even have a dozen idiots voting for her?
How can a minority party ever win an election? ONLY if they’re installed like Biden, Obama, Clinton, Carter.