White House press secretary Kayleigh McEnany hailed a RealClearPolitics polling average flip to President Donald Trump in the final week before before Tuesday’s Election Day.
McEnany tweeted Saturday:
“President @realDonaldTrump officially takes the LEAD in ARIZONA.”
The most recent poll in the RealClearPolitics to turn the average into Trump’s favor is the Rasmussen Reports poll Thursday that gives Trump a 4 percentage point edge over Democrat Joe Biden (49% to 45%). Also, the Trafalgar Group poll gives Trump a 2.5 percentage point lead, 48.9%-46.5%.
Both the Rasmussen Reports and Trafalgar Group polls are generally regarded as more favorable to Republicans and both were the most accurate in the 2016 presidential election surprise.
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{Matzav.com}
RCP Average is right now Biden +1.2. In 2016, Trump underperformed the RCP average by 0.5 in Arizona. Neither Rasmussen nor Trafalgar polled Arizona in 2016. Marist, ORC, and Emerson all overestimated Trump’s margin there. Only Marist has polled Arizona this year and it currently has Biden +2.