Trump Warns Mexico of 5 Percent Tariff Hike in Water Dispute

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President Donald Trump sharply escalated his criticism of Mexico on Monday, alleging that the country is violating its decades-old water-sharing obligations and depriving Texas agriculture of essential resources. He charged that Mexico has fallen drastically short of delivering the water owed under the 1944 U.S.–Mexico Water Treaty and declared that he is prepared to slap an additional 5% tariff on Mexican goods if the situation is not remedied at once.

The treaty requires each country to send designated amounts of river water across the border—Mexico must transfer 1.75 million acre-feet from the Rio Grande over every five-year cycle. Trump argued on Truth Social that the current cycle has ended with Mexico “owing” roughly 800,000 acre-feet, an amount he says represents a blatant breach of the agreement. “Mexico continues to violate our comprehensive Water Treaty, and this violation is seriously hurting our BEAUTIFUL TEXAS CROPS AND LIVESTOCK,” he wrote, insisting that the deficit accumulated entirely “over the past five years.”

Trump demanded that Mexico begin by releasing 200,000 acre-feet before Dec. 31, stressing that the remainder must follow shortly afterward. He lamented that Mexico has not addressed the problem: “As of now, Mexico is not responding, and it is very unfair to our U.S. Farmers who deserve this much needed water.” He then announced a retaliatory step, saying, “That is why I have authorized documentation to impose a 5% Tariff on Mexico if this water isn’t released, IMMEDIATELY. The longer Mexico takes to release the water, the more our Farmers are hurt. Mexico has an obligation to FIX THIS NOW. Thank you for your attention to this matter!”

This is not Trump’s first warning. In an April 10 Truth Social post, he raised similar concerns, contending that Mexico had repeatedly shorted its treaty commitments. By late April, Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins stated that Mexico had agreed to increase deliveries in an effort to shrink the shortfall, noting that the arrangement provided immediate relief for the growing season while also laying out near-term commitments through the close of the five-year cycle in October.

Yet frustrations in Texas have only intensified. Last month, Gov. Greg Abbott again blasted Mexico for what he called chronic noncompliance. “Mexico must be held accountable for their continued breaches of our long-standing water agreement,” he said, arguing that farmers in the Rio Grande Valley are suffering the consequences. Abbott warned that “Texas farmers are enduring preventable hardship and an erosion of the agricultural viability of the Rio Grande Valley,” citing “almost 2 million acre-feet” in missing water across more than two years’ worth of obligations. He also emphasized that “The breach of the 1944 Water Treaty violates foundational elements of international law and diplomacy and must be corrected immediately.”

The treaty imposes reciprocal responsibilities: the U.S. must send 1.5 million acre-feet from the Colorado River to Mexico annually, while Mexico must fulfill its Rio Grande deliveries in cumulative five-year blocks. The most recent cycle fell so far short that Mexico delivered less than half of its promised supply.

Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum, speaking on Oct. 30, insisted her administration intends to meet the treaty’s terms. “There will be a delivery of water now that there are more resources, without putting human consumption and agriculture at risk,” she said, according to El País.

{Matzav.com}

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