Joe Biden leads Donald Trump by an average of 7 or 8 points in national surveys, more narrowly in battleground states. Everybody remembers the shock of 2016, but can the polls be wrong again?
Ask the question in a different way: Are poll respondents telling the truth? Robert Cahaly, head of the Trafalgar Group, thinks a lot of people aren’t. Trafalgar polls accurately foresaw the outcome in 2016, calling Florida, Pennsylvania and Michigan for Mr. Trump. In 2020 the Atlanta-based consulting firm has generally shown Mr. Trump to be in a stronger position than the conventional wisdom would suggest.
In an interview over a catfish supper at the OK Cafe diner, Mr. Cahaly won’t reveal much about his methods, but he says his polls mitigate what social scientists call “social desirability bias.” The mainstream media and other authority figures have openly and aggressively contended that Mr. Trump is a white supremacist, a would-be dictator, a cretinous buffoon and an inveterate liar. In such an environment, poll respondents who sympathize with the president, or who believe his administration has on balance done more good than harm, may be forgiven for not saying so to a stranger over the phone.
Read more at WSJ.
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Michigan Residents Get a Clear Look at Biden’s Policies
By Gabrielle Seunagal -October 31, 2020, 1:56 pm154
“President Trump Travels to Florida” (Public Domain) by The White House
The contrast in policies between President Trump and Joe Biden presents very different visions for America going forward. The president wants to continue reducing Americans’ taxes; meanwhile, Biden aims to increase taxes by ending policies that raised deductibles and the child tax credit.
With three days left until the 2020 presidential election, both candidates are campaigning with a passion. Despite each candidate working across the nation to win votes, election data has already shown that Biden is struggling to get support from minority voters in battleground states; meanwhile, President Trump is raking in new endorsements.
Trafalgar Group findings show that President Trump is beating Biden in Michigan, yet another battleground state. Moreover, Breitbart News confirms that the president traveled to Michigan yesterday to campaign with voters and warn against the horror of Biden’s policies for workers.
Biden’s Policies vs. Michigan Workers
On Friday, the president spoke with a crowd of his supporters at a rally in Waterford Township. During his speech, Trump explains how Biden’s policies have hurt so many workers in Michigan, especially amid recoveries from COVID-19 shutdowns.
The president stated that Biden ultimately “twisted the knife” in Michiganders’ backs by supporting the NAFTA trade deal and China’s entry within the World Trade Organization. After explaining how Biden’s policies have worked against the best interest of Michigan workers, the president explained how his own policies are assisting Michiganders.
After noting his replacement of NAFTA with the U.S.-Mexico-Canada (USMCA) trade deal, Trump explained how his presidency has engendered a boost in auto production. Finally, the president vowed that if he wins re-election on Tuesday, he’ll continue ensuring that auto jobs and other employment opportunities remain in Michigan.
Shutting Down the Country
While Michigan residents and many others have suffered from Biden-supported policies, the situations will become a lot worse if he gets into office.
Trump mentioned this while in Waterford Township as well, noting the extent to which Biden would allow rioters to run amuck as president. This, along with Biden’s support for closing America’s economy down again, abolishing police, mandating face masks, etc., is what the Democrat ticket of 2020 has to offer Americans.